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. Typically I'm off by a factor of 2x or 3x, and always an underestimation . . . I always forget something, like time lost while waiting for stuff to ship, or taxes, or factoring in time for dumb mistakes.
Hmm. So does (Outcome) * pi = (Estimate * pi) * pi ??
go through that every time you need to estimate and then also when the project is finished.